Majalisar kula da harkokin noma da noma ta Burtaniya (AHDB) ta shirya wani rahoto kan kalubalen da bangaren noma na Burtaniya ke fuskanta wanda har yanzu zai fuskanta a shekarar 2020.
Ana buga taƙaitaccen sanarwar rahoton akan gidan yanar gizon Labaran Dankali a Yau. Mun gabatar da wani ɓangare na rubutu a kan batun dankali.
Gabaɗaya, cutar amai da gudawa ta yi tasiri sosai kan buƙatun dankali a wannan shekara, in ji rahoton.
Tabbas, dole ne a tuna cewa manoma da yawa sun yanke shawarar yin dasa girma kafin kwayar cutar ta kama Burtaniya kuma an gabatar da takunkumin keɓewa. A lokaci guda kuma, masana'antun da yawa sun yi nasarar rage yankin, amma kuma akwai lokuta lokacin da aka maye gurbin amfanin gona na hunturu da ba a yi nasara ba da dankali.
Lokacin bazara a yawancin yankuna ya bushe, wanda ya ba da damar yin dasa shuki a cikin taki mai kyau. A lokaci guda kuma, wasu masu noman noma sun bayyana fargabar cewa ba za a iya samun isasshen danshi ba don bunkasa tsirrai a matakin farko, amma a watan Yuni an yi ruwan sama a kan kari. Har ila yau, kada mu manta cewa fiye da rabin yankin dankalin turawa na Birtaniya suna da kayan aikin ban ruwa.
Don haka, ana iya ɗauka cewa yawan girbi na wannan kakar ba zai ragu ba. Ko da yake ya yi da wuri don taƙaita sakamakon: masana kimiyyar yanayi sun yi alkawarin cewa ƙarshen lokacin rani zai zama " bushe da dumi fiye da yadda aka saba." Idan hasashen ya zama gaskiya, wannan na iya yin tasiri akan sakamakon ƙarshe.
Kasuwa
Kafin barkewar cutar, masana da dama sun yi hasashe cewa, kila kila jarin dankalin da aka girbe a shekarar 2019 ba zai wadatar ba sai kakar wasa ta gaba. Amma an rufe wuraren cin abinci a duk faɗin Turai, don haka babu buƙatar magana game da ƙarancin.
Menene wannan zai iya haifarwa a nan gaba? Na farko, bukatar Burtaniya na shigo da dankali don sarrafa na iya raguwa a kakar wasa mai zuwa. Idan an yi girbi akan lokaci kuma tare da sakamako mai kyau, za a samar da masu sarrafa na Burtaniya da kayan amfanin gida.
Na biyu, an san cewa a tsakiyar bazara, kusan tan miliyan 2 na dankalin turawa na girbi na 2019 ya kasance ba a gane su ba a Turai. A halin yanzu, masu sarrafawa na Turai suna cika wajibcin kwangilarsu, amma har yanzu dole ne a yi amfani da wani ɓangare na haja akan farashi mai rahusa (misali, ana amfani da su don ciyar da dabbobi). A kan wannan bangon, yana da wuya a yi hasashen karuwar farashin a kasuwa.
Bugu da kari, dole ne kuma a yi la'akari da sakamakon Brexit. A lokacin rubuta wannan rahoto, har yanzu ba a bai wa Burtaniya matsayi na uku ba kuma hakan na iya dakatar da fitar da iri ko dankalin turawa a Burtaniya zuwa kasuwar EU.
sassan tattarawa da sarrafawa
Barkewar cutar Coronavirus ta yi tasiri sosai kan samar da dankalin turawa. Koyaya, tasirinsa, in ji, a cikin marufi da sassan sarrafawa an ji daban.
Bangaren marufi galibi yana hidimar kasuwancin kiri (kimanin kashi 80%). A kololuwar siyan firgici a watan Maris, an yi wani babban tsalle a wannan yanki. Tun daga wannan lokacin, buƙatun kayan da aka tattara ya ragu sosai, amma bai faɗi ƙasa ba: duk da cewa an sake buɗe yawancin wuraren cin abinci a ranar 4 ga Yuli, mutane da yawa suna ci gaba da yin mafi yawan lokutansu a gida suna cin abinci na gida.
Lamarin ya sha bamban a bangaren sarrafawa. Rufe wuraren shakatawa da gidajen abinci ya yi tasiri sosai a masana'antar (abincin ya kai kashi 55-60% na kasuwa). Kuma ko da yake wuraren ba da abinci a hankali suna ci gaba da gudanar da ayyukansu, har yanzu buƙatun ayyukansu ya yi nisa da abin da aka lura kafin barkewar cutar. Tsammanin tabarbarewar tattalin arziki kuma yana da mummunan tasiri a kan halin da ake ciki.
Hanyoyin amfani da dankalin turawa
Kafin COVID-19, gabaɗayan tallace-tallacen dillalan dankali yana raguwa. Abincin gargajiya ya rasa dacewa. Sai dai babbar matsalar, a cewar Kantar Usage, ita ce, shirya abincin dankalin turawa, na bukatar }o}ari da lokaci mai yawa daga mabukata. Wasu da yawa kuma sun ɗauki dankali da yawan adadin kuzari da rashin lafiya. A dunkule, wannan ya kai ga yadda masu amfani da su da yawa suka bayyana aniyar su ta rage cin dankali (15%). A lokaci guda, kawai 8% sun shirya don ƙara yawan amfani (AHDB / YouGov Consumer Tracker, Fabrairu 20).
Yayin cutar ta COVID-19, tallace-tallacen dankalin turawa ya karu sosai (+ 21,6%). Idan aka kwatanta, jimlar tallace-tallacen abinci da abin sha ya karu da +14,7% (Kantar, Mayu 12-17, 2020). An yi rikodin girma mafi sauri don dankalin gwangwani da kwakwalwan kwamfuta, shaharar waɗannan samfuran saboda tsawon rai.
Gabaɗaya, a lokacin keɓewa, dankalin turawa ya amfana daga juzu'insu da nau'in farashi. Wannan ya taimaka wajen daidaita rufe cibiyoyin sabis na abinci da makarantu, wanda yawanci ya kai kusan kashi 22% na cin dankalin turawa.
Abin da ke gaba?
Duban yanayin dillalin dankalin turawa na ragowar shekara ta kalanda, zamu iya ɗauka (a kusan kowane yanayi, gami da tsaurara matakan keɓancewa) cewa amfani da samfurin zai ƙaru kaɗan.
A lokaci guda kuma, ɓangaren tallace-tallacen dankalin turawa don sarrafawa yana iya raguwa.
Kula da kuzari
A taƙaice, za mu iya taƙaita cewa halin da ake ciki na rikicin yanzu ya amfana da sabbin kasuwannin dankalin turawa, wani samfuri na tattalin arziki wanda ya dace da shirya jita-jita iri-iri da aka dafa a gida yana buƙata a tsakanin jama'a.
Babu ƙarancin fatan da ke buɗewa a yau don samfuran daskararrun dankalin turawa marasa tsada waɗanda ke adana kuɗi da kuzari ga masu amfani. Abincin da aka yi sanyi (mashed dankali, gratin, da dai sauransu) zai kasance cikin buƙata mai girma.
Kuna iya karanta ƙarin game da wannan. a nan