Halin yanayin farashin karas yana da:
- Ana tsammanin farashin karas a cikin rabin farkon 2022.
A cikin Janairu-Yuni 2022, a cikin mahallin iyakancewar wadatar karas da aka girbe a cikin 2021, farashin wannan nau'in kayan lambu, bisa ga hasashen masana da Cibiyar Nazarin Agribusiness "AB-Centre", za su kasance a koyaushe manyan matakan. idan aka kwatanta da shekara guda da ta wuce.. Dangane da yanayin da kanta, a cikin lokacin da aka nuna, farashin vector shima zai yi girma. Akwai yuwuwar cewa a tsakiyar Maris 2022, matsakaicin farashin kayan karas zai wuce 28,0 rubles / kg (a farkon Janairu sun kasance 20,5 rubles / kg ban da VAT, kuma a karshen Afrilu matakin su zai wuce 30,0 rub. /kg).
- An yi hasashen raguwar farashin karas a cikin kakar 2022/2023.
A cikin rabin na biyu na 2022, tare da tsammanin farfadowa a cikin tarin, farashin karas zai ragu sosai. Ƙarar kuɗin kuɗi zai faru a cikin mahallin fadada girman wuraren da aka shuka.
Yawancin zai dogara da adadin kuɗin. Bisa kididdigar kididdigar da aka yi daga Cibiyar AB-Center da aka gabatar a cikin binciken, girbin karas a masana'antar noman kayan lambu a shekarar 2022 zai kai wani matsayi mai girma na tan dubu 976,1. Wannan juzu'in yana iyakance ga ƙarar da zai haifar da "rikicin haɓaka haɓaka".
An kafa tarihin da ya gabata a shekarar 2019, lokacin da aka girbe tan dubu 963,9. Sannan, a cikin Satumbar 2019, matsakaicin farashin siyar da karas ya kasance kawai 9,7 rubles / kg. Don kwatanta, a cikin Satumba 2020 sun karu zuwa 13,1 rubles / kg (a cikin 2020 sun tattara ƙasa da yawa - ton dubu 817,7), a cikin Satumba 2021 - har zuwa 16,1 rubles / kg (tarin a cikin 2021 ya kai ton dubu 721,8).
Idan adadin kuɗi ya kai ƙimar hasashen, to ana iya sa ran cewa ta watan Satumba 2022, farashin farashi zai faɗi zuwa 10,0-11,0 rubles / kg. A lokacin Oktoba-Disamba 2022 da kuma har zuwa Mayu 2023, za a lura da jinkirin girma girma (har zuwa 12,0-14,0 rubles / kg).
Wannan shine matsakaicin hasashe, koyaushe akwai yuwuwar duka kyawawan abubuwan halitta da yanayin yanayi, da waɗanda ba su da kyau. Misali, hasashen girbin ya dogara ne akan gaskiyar cewa yawan karas zai kasance a matsakaicin matakan shekara a cikin shekaru 5 da suka gabata. Idan shekara ta kasance mai girma, to, kudaden masana'antu na iya wuce fiye da ton miliyan 1, wanda zai haifar da rikice-rikice na overproduction, farashin tallace-tallace zai fadi zuwa 7-8 rubles / kg kuma ba zai girma ba a duk lokacin kakar - har sai lokacin rani. na 2023. Adana karas a cikin irin wannan yanayi na iya zama mara amfani.
A lokaci guda, yanayin juzu'i na iya faruwa, lokacin da yanayi mara kyau da yanayin yanayi ba za su ƙyale faɗaɗa yankuna da / ko haɓaka yawan amfanin ƙasa ba. Sa'an nan kuma farashin zai ci gaba da kasancewa a manyan matakan.